DOI: https://doi.org/10.20535/2307-5651.15.2018.135918

REGULATION OF EMIGRATION PROCESSES IN UKRAINE: THE IMPACT OF GLOBALIZATION FACTORS

N.І. Luzenko, І.М. Grinko

Анотація


The article provides economic substantiation to emigration processes, globalization and factors of globalization, that expand their essence and characterize their role in the system of migration relations.. The list of general factors of globalization of economy is formed, among them: GDP at current prices, inflow of foreign investments into Ukraine, export and import of goods and services, volume of investments into Ukraine in transportation, warehousing, postal and courier activities. The influence of the factors of globalization on the international emigration processes in Ukraine is investigated and it is proved that there is a close connection between the factors and emigration, with the value of the coefficient of multiple correlation - 0,97. The choice of indicators for the analysis of their influence on international emigration in Ukraine in the context of Ukraine's international economic activity is substantiated. The general interdependence between factors and the number of interstate emigrants in Ukraine in the form of the equation of multiple regression is revealed and viewed. The link between the indicators of globalization and international emigrants in Ukraine by means of an average elasticity factor is illustrated and characterized. A function has been provided for forecasting the change in the number of emigrants in Ukraine provided that the trend function is appropriate to the connection, taking into account the accuracy of the approximation. The methods of regulation of emigration flows in Ukraine are proposed with the help of influence on factors of globalization among them there are: creation of a favorable investment climate in the field of infrastructure, growth of Ukraine's GDP, growth of exports of goods and services, reduction of state dependence on imports. It is proved that correlation-regression analysis will determine the ways of regulating international flows of emigration in Ukraine in the conditions of globalization, to show the connection between individual factors and emigration and carry out projected values.


Ключові слова


globalization, emigration processes, factors of globalization

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Copyright (c) 2018 N.І. Luzenko, І.М. Grinko

ECONOMIC BULLETIN OF NATIONAL TECHNICAL UNIVERSITY OF UKRAINE "KYIV POLYTECHNICAL INSTITUTE"

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